As we mentioned yesterday, a bit of a fight has broken out over whether it is irresponsible for journalists and others to advise homeowners about the options that the government's bailout programs are opening up to them. But the fact is for a lot of homeowners it makes perfect sense to stop payments on mortgages...and it may even pay to stop any overtime work or have one of the earners in your household quit.
Pender quotes Peter Schiff, who thinks a lot of people are going to make sure they qualify by stopping payments and reducing income.
Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital, predicts that many homeowners who have little or no equity will stop paying their mortgage and then reduce their income to get the biggest payment cut possible. They could stop working overtime or, if two spouses work, one could quit. After the modification, they could try to boost their income again.
"This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity," Schiff says. "People are going to feel like complete morons if they don't participate. The people getting punished are the ones who never made an irresponsible decision to buy a house they couldn't afford."
The government is offering loan servicers $800 for every homeowner they get into the plan.
Will stopping payments hurt your credit rating? Of course it will. But so will missing auto-loan, student loan and credit card payments. What's more, a foreclosure will hurt your rating even more. A personal bankruptcy will ruin it. The savings you get from restructuring your loan may more than make up for the additional costs of borrowing later you'll incur by missing a few payments. In time, your score will bounce back.
Is this immoral? Of course it's not. We live in Bailout America, with lenders getting billions in taxpayer dollars. You are gaming the system here; you are playing by the rules. The rules may reward irresponsible behavior but if moral hazard doesn't stop Citigroup from getting $25 billion, why should it stop you from restructuring your loan.
Not everyone agrees. As Joe pointed out here the other day, some paternalistic journalists think Pender shouldn't even be sharing this information with the public. But that's just silly. With the government paying mortgage companies to restructre the loans, they're going to be cold calling homeowners and selling them on this anyway.
Felix Salmon gets it right:
"Remember that it's not a crime to default on your mortgage. The banks are perfectly happy scraping around in the fine print of credit-card agreements to screw their customers; the customers should be perfectly happy similarly to optimize their own situation with respect to the banks. It's an unfortunate situation all round, but it's not something you can blame the financial press for."
I may not be using 38% of my pre-tax income to pay my mortgage today, but tomorrow I can make it look that way. Hence the whole work less, do less.
that's what all the corporate whores do
Voluntarily reducing one's income takes productive effort out of the economy. Recovery will be much harder for us all.
People aren't going to quit their jobs and stop paying their mortgages if they can currently afford it. A very small minority might try to game the system if they really are working three jobs and they really don't care about going through the hassle of renegotiating the mortgage. But they will have repercussions for their actions (credit score), and this program DOES have safeguards, which everyone seems to forget.
How many people are really going to look to get RID of a job in this economy? Moreoever, how many people in any economy are ever looking to REDUCE their income. Are you serious with this post?
This is just another free market zeolot railing against the "evils" of socialism while ignoring the realities of the situation. What makes it worse is that the author has the economic acumen to know better. Let's try to be objective here. Maybe this plan isn't the best, but it's all we've got. And it's a hell of a lot better than doing nothing.
All these government plans end up as a jackpot for scammers. Where were you when New Orleans was ripping off FEMA for Katrina money? Seen much improvement there in the last four years? The first ones to rape the taxpayer in this plan will be the realtors, who live at the same level as used car salesmen and lawyers.
This plan is stupid. But that's what you get from government.
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"Democracy is a form of government that cannot long survive, for as soon as the people learn that they have a voice in the fiscal policies of the government, they will move to vote for themselves all the money in the treasury, and bankrupt the nation." ~ Karl Marx
If someone buys more home than they can afford, or if financial circumstances change, then they need to be responsible about returning the asset to the bank. It's no different from buying anything else that you can't afford to keep - either sell it or bring it back to the store. If enough people do this, then market prices don't become as overinflated, and more-affordable purchases become available.
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